Monday, October 8, 2018

Second entry: Why I see the Kavanaugh confirmation as a disaster, and what ought to be done.

Blog entry #2: Why is it a disaster to have confirmed Kavanaugh?  And, what ought to be done?

In my first blog entry, I said that I felt on 10/6 like I had felt on 9/11, when it felt like jumbo jets had crashed into me and my community.  We would Remember 10/6.  And we ought to take action.

It’s 10/8.  I still feel that way.

I’ve been asking myself:

Why is it a disaster to have confirmed Kavanaugh?

Was it a disaster because Kavanaugh is a bad man?
I, personally, have no deep knowledge of other Supreme Court justices.  I have no way of knowing that they are NOT bad people.  (I definitely have negative feelings about Thomas, and am confident that he lied during his confirmation hearings.  I disagree with his decisions and opinions in some cases.  But I would not go so far as to argue for his impeachment.)  I don’t see this as a moralistic “he is a bad man, so he shouldn’t have been confirmed because it rewards a bad man” thing.

Was it a disaster because it was partisan?
In these times, I doubt that any nomination, by either side, will be anything other than partisan.  Obama nominated Garland, an incredibly moderate justice, and Republicans refused to even have a vote on him (because they knew they could not justify voting against him).  Trump nominated Kavanaugh, whose decisions aligned with Garland’s well over 90% of the time, and conservatives hailed him as a fantastic choice, while liberals criticized him heavily.  I thought he was… qualified.  I did not become a rabid Never Kavanaugh person until his testimony defending himself against Ford.

Was it a disaster because Kavanaugh perjured himself?
Yes, that’s how I see it.  I can explore this in detail in another blog entry.  I don’t see how people can disagree with this.

Was it a disaster because Kavanaugh demonstrated that he is not impartial?
Yes.  I don’t see how this isn’t clear.  Judges should be impartial.  Kavanaugh is not impartial.  Kavanaugh should not be a judge.

Was it a disaster because Kavanaugh is a sex offender?
That isn’t my focus.  I think Kavanaugh lied in defending himself against accusations of sexual assault, and that lying in his defense strongly implies his guilt.  But I think perjury and lack of impartiality are sufficient reasons to not have selected him.

Even if it was a disaster, it’s over, right?  Kavanaugh is on the Supreme Court.  Case closed.  Right?
Well… he CAN be impeached.  Republicans have spent the past 8.5 years trying to undo the ACA.  They certainly have felt passionately about that.  Those of us who think a lying partisan asshole ought to be removed from the Supreme Court certainly have the ability to tilt at windmills if we choose.
OK, fine, he CAN be impeached.  But, should he?
This is a bit tricky.  On one hand, a lying partisan asshole should not be making important decisions about our country; even once confirmed, he deserves to be removed.  On the other hand, removing a Supreme Court justice is fraught with peril.  What if Republicans decided to remove RBG?  Frankly, I think a long-term effort to convince REPUBLICANS that they made a mistake and ought to fix it would be optimal.  I hold out little hope of this happening short-term.

We’re talking here about punishing Kavanaugh for his sexual assault, right?
I’m not.  In my opinion, working feverishly to remove Kavanaugh as punishment for attempted rape confuses the issue.  Then, people will argue that he should NOT be removed UNTIL/UNLESS he is actually convicted of attempted rape.  And no court would, or should, convict him of attempted rape.  There is no evidence.  There never will be evidence.  The only extent to which Kavanaugh will ever be punished for attempted rape is by having over 100 million people know for certain he’s guilty.

Is it possible that Kavanaugh could act as a reasonable Supreme Court justice?
I know I will be extremely (pleasantly) surprised if he recuses himself from controversial decisions where he might demonstrate bias.  I will also be surprised if the liberal justices on the Supreme Court make statements supporting him.  That could defuse my concerns.  My bias against him has been strengthened the more I’ve learned about him.  I doubt that will change.

What would have to happen for Kavanaugh to actually be impeached?
Kavanaugh, in his testimony itself, perjured himself.  He himself has made self-contradictory statements, which ought to have disqualified him for any judicial position.  The Senate, in their infinite wisdom, did not deign to act on this – in fact, it deigned to act despite this.  The fact that they confirmed him anyway does not wipe away those instances of perjury.  No one can claim “Those lies don’t matter, the Senate officially ruled them OK.”  In fact, the senators who confirmed him, in many cases, stated “I believe him”.  Declaring that he lied in an impeachment process would be sufficient to ultimately impeach him… if the Senate could be convinced to vote against him with 67 votes.  Which either means continued, compelling attention to the fact that he lied sufficient to get existing Republican senators to vote for impeachment, or else convincing the US voters that he lied sufficient to get them to vote the Republicans out of office, and then have Democrats wield 67 votes to impeach him in the Senate.  Not an easy task.  Perhaps not even realistic.  But worth pursuing.  It will be beneficial, IMHO, to continue to complain about the lies he already told, and to reveal more evidence to demonstrate that they are lies.  For instance, I’m pretty confident there are many people who can attest to his misbehavior.  Perhaps there are pictures.  We already have some police records.  We already have testimony from multiple people.

Aren’t there more important, urgent issues to deal with in this age of Trump?
Probably.  However, this is the one that I, personally, find so egregious.  By voting Republicans out of office in general, we will make progress on multiple other fronts as well.  Keeping the focus on Kavanaugh’s lies may reap multiple benefits.

What actions can we take today?
I chose to join Indivisible.  I donated to them today, with a monthly ongoing donation.  (In general, I like committing to monthly donations, because it provides a predictable revenue stream for causes I support.  And, that way, I don’t forget to renew next year.)  I also volunteered to help with phone bank activities.  Thanks to Kris for recommending this!

And apparently Trump thinks that my views are an insult to the American public.  Meanwhile, he claimed that Kavanaugh’s confirmation proved he was innocent.  In case it wasn’t clear, that’s a lie.  Much like the lies that Kavanaugh told, such as his statements that the other people Ford listed as being at the party said it didn’t happen.  (Those were more logical fallacies than anything else, I guess – unlike his statement that he had never been at a party like that, when his calendar shows he had been, at least he was simply mischaracterizing other people as saying something they did not actually say.  It’s completely possible that Trump could be confused enough to say things that are misleading and untrue without knowing what he’s doing.  If Kavanaugh, as a judge, didn’t know what he was doing, it was scary incompetence sufficient to disqualify him, but it seems unlikely he didn’t know what he was doing.

 This is Day 2 after 10/6/2018.  I’m a subscriber/supporter of WTFJHT, where Matt has sent 400 daily emails so far regarding the Trump Presidency.  If he can send out an email each workday, I suspect I can keep writing about my unhappiness regarding Kavanaugh, and take various actions, for at least a little while longer.


Sunday, October 7, 2018

First blog entry: Disaster of confirming Kavanaugh

(This is the first post on my new blog.  Welcome!)

Where were you on 10/6/2018 when Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed to the Supreme Court?

I remember hearing that he had been confirmed.  It wasn’t wholly a surprise.  But it felt to me like a seismic shift in this country.  It probably shouldn’t have.  But, like death by 1,000 cuts, you reach a point where you recognize you’re bleeding.

I do see this as the political equivalent of 9/11.  It’s something that ought to make you sit up and take notice.

What did you do after 9/11?

I know what I did.  Essentially, nothing.

What did you do after 10/6?

I would like to do something.  Take action.

What should we do?

Talk isn’t enough, IMHO.  I’ve actually talked a lot.  It’s not _bad_, it’s useful to hone your opinions.  But action is more important.

I would like to share questions that I have, and the answers as I see them.  Questions, because statements by themselves do not allow for discussion - statements are vehicles for disagreement and anger.  Maybe questions are too, we shall see.

Here are the types of questions I have (some of which I have strong answers to):

Should a man who is partisan and a comprehensive liar be on the Supreme Court?
(I believe NO.)

Did Kavanaugh’s testimony demonstrate that he is partisan?
(I believe, clearly YES.)

Did Kavanaugh’s testimony demonstrate that he is a comprehensive liar?
(I believe, clearly YES.)

Can Kavanaugh be removed from the Supreme Court?
(Yes.)

What mechanisms can be used to get Kavanaugh off the Supreme Court, now that he’s there?
(He can be convinced to resign, which seems unlikely.  He can be impeached, with 67 votes in the Senate.)

What can be done to prevent more Kavanaughs from being confirmed in the future?
(Replace senators who chose to confirm Kavanaugh.)

How can we replace senators who confirm Kavanaugh?
(Register voters who are not registered, including those purged from the rolls. Take states to court that disenfranchise voters.  Support Democrats.  Oppose Republicans.)

How can we impeach Kavanaugh?
(Document his misdeeds.  Document his lies.  Document his partisanship.  Prepare the facts for an impeachment.  Find and support a champion to accomplish this.)

What actions can I take?
(Give money to help register voters.  Give money to support legal actions protecting voter rights. Give money to Democrats.  Join the Democratic party.  Demonstrate in public.  Write a blog.  Become active on Twitter.  Write to the local paper.  Talk with friends, share opinions.  Volunteer with local Democrats.  Take time, each day, to do something.)

How long will it take to effect change?
(Years.  Realistically, trying to get control of the House plus 67 Democrats in the Senate is a struggle that will require intense focus in 2018 to even retain existing seats in the Senate, possibly make reasonable progress in 2020, but even 2022 is unlikely to reach 67 Democrats.  Changing minds of the public and Republican senators is more feasible.)

Should we just move to another country instead?
(No.  This is my home.  I will not cede it to others.  No other place will ever be home as much.)

Are accusations of sexual misdeeds justification for removing Kavanaugh?
(That is not the basis of MY concerns, and I believe his lies are sufficient to justify his removal.)

Is Kavanaugh being attacked by unjustified liberal partisanship?
(To the extent that I demonstrate liberal partisanship now personally, I believe it largely driven _by_ Kavanaugh's confirmation.  Effect, not cause.)

If Kavanaugh is impeached, what happens to him?
(He shouldn’t be a judge.  Period.)

Will there be political consequences for impeaching Kavanaugh?
(Probably.)

Will this divide our already-divided country?
(Possibly, but it might pull us together, if done carefully.)

Aren’t there more important issues to address?
(Probably.  But we should not let this stand.)

Should Kavanaugh be treated so roughly?  Doesn’t everyone lie?
(He zoomed past my threshold of acceptable lies.)

Should Republicans be treated so roughly?  Doesn’t everyone make complex political decisions?
(They have failed in a fundamental responsibility, which they acknowledge is fundamental.  Until and unless they fix their mistake, they remain part of the problem.)

Don’t these things work themselves out?  Aren’t we getting better as a country?
(After 9/11, we invaded Iraq - we made a bad situation much worse.)

Aren’t we rational people making rational decisions?
(Demonstrably, no.  See Iraq, above.)

Isn’t this a lot more complex than I’m making this out to be?
(Sure.  But one should start somewhere.)

Isn’t Trump the “real” problem?
(No.  He’s another symptom.  He’s _a_ problem.  Solving Kavanaugh may also solve Trump.)

Those are the questions that have been keeping me up tonight.  As I write this, it’s 3:20AM, I have had trouble sleeping.


Actions I intend to take today, 10/7:

Create my blog (CHECK!)

Identify organizations that support registering voters.  Contribute.(CHECK! https://www.voterparticipation.org/, https://swingleft.org/, https://front.moveon.org/, https://www.wvwvaf.org/)

Identify organizations that oppose restricting voters’ rights in court. Contribute.  (CHECK! https://www.vote.org/, https://democraticredistricting.com/)
Identify Democrats in tight Senate elections.  Contribute.
Identify Republicans in tight Senate elections.  Contribute to their opponents.

Actions I intend to take longer-term:

Volunteer for Jamie McLeod-Skinner campaign for Oregon’s 2nd district to replace Greg Walden (Republican, awful incumbent).

Walk precincts?

Sign up to help during election weekend (CHECK! https://thelastweekend.org - good links to other sites)

Contact Ron Wyden’s office, identify opportunities to volunteer for my favorite Senator.

Contact Jeff Merkley’s office, identify opportunities to volunteer for my second favorite Senator.

Contact the local Democratic party, get involved.

Search for groups working to impeach Kavanaugh.  Get involved.

Write in my blog - detailed answers to questions like I posed above.

Respond to comments on my blog.

Write opinions for the local paper.

Encourage others to take action